China ending ‘world’s strictest lockdown’ could kill 2.1MILLION leading to Xi facing ‘perfect storm’ that could oust him
“Our analysis suggests deaths could peak in January while cases may peak late December,” she said.
Former diplomat and China expert Roger Garside said the potential deaths present a threat to Xi’s rule, given how closely he has been associated with it. “Although the protests have calmed down for now, when the death toll surges there will be new anger and outrage from the people who have been protesting.“I think this a revolutionary moment in Chinese history. I think a perfect storm is gathering and 2023 is going to be dramatic year for China.”
In comparison, India, with a similar population to China, has recorded 531,614 deaths while the United States has seen 1.08 million Covid fatalities.“The biggest problem that China has is that their ICU capacity is quite low – it’s around three per million," he said.“But it’s if the ICU starts to overflow and we see problems with ventilators and all of that we’ve seen in Western countries and elsewhere over the term of the pandemic then if that starts to happen that’s a problem.
Ben Cowling, an epidemiologist at Hong Kong University, said insufficient medical resources to cope contributed to a surge in deaths in Hong Kong when infections peaked there earlier this year."One of the reasons we had such a high mortality rate is because we simply didn’t have enough hospital resources to cope in the surge,” he said.
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