Mélanie Joly, Canada’s Foreign Affairs Minister, recently stated that Canada seeks regime change in Russia.
Regime change in Russia is specifically unlikely to work. For one, who would replace Putin in a country that supports Russia’s war efforts? There is neither a large liberal democratic nor anti-war constituency in Russia. Three independent polling groups have found that
Second, Vladimir Putin has created an effective balance of power amongst his security services to ensure that no faction could unilaterally oust him. Thus, even in the event of a “palace coup,” the players most likely to come to power would be members of the existing security services. In office, they would act very similarly to how Putin acts now. Indeed, they may even conclude that Putin’s weakness was a. The consequences could be severe.
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