Reminder: There are 91 days until the Iowa caucuses and 365 days until the 2020 election. Over the weekend, Pete Buttigieg made waves with a suggestion — which he later partially retracted — that the 2020 Democratic primary contest is “getting to be a two-way” race between him and Elizabeth Warren.
Welcome to 2020 Vision, the Yahoo News column covering the presidential race with one key takeaway every weekday and a wrap-up each weekend. Reminder: There are 91 days until the Iowa caucuses and 365 days until the 2020 election.
Opponents said Buttigieg’s remarks were presumptuous, with Kamala Harris calling the 37-year-old South Bend, Ind. mayor “naïve” and encouraging him to “review past elections” to see “that what's happening right now is not necessarily determinative of the outcome.” Barack Obama advisor David Axelrod described Buttigieg’s prediction as “a campaign strategist’s nightmare.” The Guardian mocked him: “Pete Buttigieg: race is between me and Warren – as new poll puts him fourth.
But the reason Buttigieg is so optimistic is Iowa. In mid-September, he was polling at 7.5 percent in the Hawkeye State — good for fifth place, behind Harris. Now he’s averaging 17 percent, which puts him in second, ahead of Biden and Sanders and about five points behind Warren. The campaign’s theory is that if Buttigieg and Warren finish in the top two in the first-in-the-nation caucuses on Feb.
What was striking about Friday is that both Buttigieg and Warren tried to repeat Obama’s success, but by focusing on different parts of his winning message. Buttigieg, in other words, sounded a lot like the Obama of there’s no red America and no blue America. And even the attack Buttigieg leveled on Warren sounded a lot like the attack Obama leveled on Hillary Clinton, his 2008 rival.
Warren, for her part, was just as Obamaesque in her LJ remarks. She simply revived a different aspect of his message — the one about vision.
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