Breaking down the Buccaneers' projected win total for the 2024 NFL season, including their chances of winning the NFC South.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the lowly NFC South in 2023, but they made the most of the opportunity and beat the defending NFC Champions in the first round of the playoffs, beating the Philadelphia Eagles in an upset.
Not only that, but they were close to pulling off a second-straight upset in the second round, narrowly losing to the Detroit Lions. Now, Tampa Bay fans have a tough season ahead of them as some new life has been breathed into the division by the Atlanta Falcons signing Kirk Cousins. Should we expect the Bucs to have another strong season and win the division once again?
Oddsmakers have released projected win totals for all 32 teams. Let's take a look at how many wins they expect the Bucs to rack up in 2024.OVER 7.5 Wins After a 9-8 record in 2023, the Buccaneers' win total is set at 7.5 for 2024, predicting a slight regression from last year's performance. The good news is the OVER is the favored side at -150, meaning there's an implied probability of 60% the Bucs will win at least eight games in 2024.
The downside is eight or nine wins is unlikely to be good enough to win the division once again in 2024. The Falcons win total is two games higher at 9.5 and both Atlanta and the New Orleans Saints have significantly easier schedules than the Buccaneers. Based on the projected win total of their opponents, the Falcons have the easiest schedule in the NFL and the Saints have the fifth easiest.
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