BOJ Speculation Shifts to Negative Rate Policy From Yield Cap

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BOJ Speculation Shifts to Negative Rate Policy From Yield Cap
France Dernières Nouvelles,France Actualités
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Investors keeping an eye on Bank of Japan policy have shifted their attention to the possible end of the central bank’s negative interest rate following the loosening of guide rails around bond yields.

While no changes are expected at this week’s policy meeting, swap market indicators now show stronger expectations for the near-term scrapping of the subzero rate by March than a further widening of the band around the BOJ’s 10-year yield target.

Since July when the BOJ said it would allow yields on 10-year government debt to rise toward 1%, option-implied volatility in two-year yen overnight-indexed swaps has risen compared with the corresponding gauge for 10-year contracts. Previously, the bank had drawn a line in the sand at 0.5%. He said it was not out of the question to have sufficient data by the end of the year to discern if wage gains were sustainable. Raising rates was among the options for the bank if prices and the economy proved stronger than expected, Ueda added. The story pushed up yields and briefly helped strengthen the yen.

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