It has been a brutal stretch for DeSantis’ young primary campaign.
“Because of the 2022 elections, a lot of Republicans got the impression he was a force of nature. But what’s happened since November is he’s proven to be terrible at this. Trump does have a connection to a large part of the Republican base that DeSantis can’t seem to pull off,” says James Carville, a longtime Democratic strategist often credited with much of Bill Clinton’s success in the 1992 presidential contest.
“It will be close” if it’s Biden versus Trump once again, predicts a former Biden White House official, citing states including Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, the three that doomed Hillary Clinton’s 2016 run and that Biden narrowly won in 2020. “It is hard for me not to imagine things going sideways again [like in 2016]. You do not want to underestimate Donald Trump, ever, in a presidential election,” a current Biden aide says, stressing that they still think Biden is the favorite. “It will very much be [us] holding our breath until after the election [results] next year.”
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