Bank of Canada seen on hold, inviting 'hot-money' flows

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Bank of Canada seen on hold, inviting 'hot-money' flows
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The Bank of Canada is likely to keep interest rates steady on Wednesday in its f...

TORONTO - The Bank of Canada is likely to keep interest rates steady on Wednesday in its first policy announcement since the federal election, despite signs that investors seeking higher-yielding currencies are shifting more money into Canadian dollars.

While increased fiscal spending could boost Canada’s economy, a stronger currency could make it harder to raise the share of export-led growth, something that is more sustainable and that Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz has been counting on. “If the Fed cuts while the Bank of Canada holds its fire, you will have Canadian central bankers faced with the fact that the overnight rate north of the border is now the highest in the developed world,” said Royce Mendes, senior economist at CIBC Capital Markets.

Speculators have raised bullish bets on the loonie to the highest since February 2018, data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission showed.“The bottom line is that the Bank of Canada does not want to cut rates at all,” said Christian Lawrence, senior market strategist at Rabobank. “I think we will see the Bank of Canada, and Poloz in particular, just grab onto anything positive and keep running with it.

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