Awaiting key data, some investors fear Fed will overdo tightening

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Awaiting key data, some investors fear Fed will overdo tightening
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Many believe it may end up moving too aggressively after moderating its stance a month ago.

The Federal Reserve’s pledge to redouble its inflation-fighting efforts is spooking some investors, who believe it may end up moving too aggressively after moderating its stance a month ago.

Friday’s U.S. employment and next week’s inflation report would be key factors in determining whether policymakers would return to jumbo-sized rate increases after scaling back to a quarter-percentage-point hike last month, he said. Worries of Fed overtightening are showing up in the ICE BofA MOVE Index, a measure of expected volatility in U.S. Treasuries that has shot back from a 10-month low and now stands near its highest level since December.

While the Fed’s words and actions are always closely followed by investors, market participants have been particularly focused on the central bank’s response to rising inflation pressures in the economy since the COVID-19 slowdown. Some have criticized it for being too slow in shifting its attention from fighting the pandemic economic shock to controlling prices.

Another risk, Gayeski said, is that a run of softer data could prematurely fan risk appetite by convincing investors that inflation was once again on the downswing.

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