MLB predictions, picks, and odds for Houston Astros at Texas Rangers on October 18. MLB American League Championship Series 2023 free pick and best bets.
Texas won both games in H-Town and will now send Max Scherzer to the hump in hopes of landing a 3-0 ALCS lead. However, Mad Max hasn't pitched in a month while Yordan Alvarez is red hot... and our MLB picks don't expect the Astros slugger to cool down.
Obviously, Mad Max is built for any situation, but there’s also the fact the future Hall of Famer was starting to show his age this season. The right hander was pitching to a 3.77 ERA, a FIP of 4.23, and had strikeouts per nine innings of 10.1. Those were some of his worst marks since his time in Detroit.lineup. Even though the Astros haven’t been putting their best swings on the ball this series there is at least one Astros’ player Scherzer will need to look out for.
Alvarez has hit the Over on 1.5 total bases in five of his six postseason games, and yet, sportsbooks are still giving us +135 on the Over. Until they adjust, I’m going to keep betting it.I’m betting Alvarez isn't the only Astros player that does some damage against Scherzer. While Houston's lineup hasn’t been firing on all cylinders this series, the potential for a breakout game is there.
Then there is playoff Javier. The RHP has a career 1.91 ERA and is limiting opponents to a .119 batting average over 15 career postseason appearances. He also hasn’t allowed a run on just two hits in 16 1/3 innings over his last three postseason starts dating back to last season.
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