As COVID public health emergency ends, ‘whack-a-mole’ virus won’t be easy to track

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As COVID public health emergency ends, ‘whack-a-mole’ virus won’t be easy to track
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The U.S. COVID-19 public health emergency comes to an end on Thursday, but the fight against COVID goes on.

As the U.S. COVID-19 public health emergency comes to an end on Thursday, the fight against COVID goes on–-and some new challenges begin for those who hope to keep the virus at bay.

The U.S. is “now in a better place in our response than at any point of the pandemic and well-positioned to transition out of the emergency phase,” the Department of Health and Human Services said in a statement Tuesday, adding that more than 270 million people have had at least one shot of a COVID vaccine and more than 750 million free COVID tests have been shipped directly to more than 80 million households.

Where is the virus heading? Rates of COVID hospitalizations and deaths are approaching the lowest levels seen during the pandemic, according to CDC data. There were about 1,100 weekly COVID deaths as of May 3, according to the CDC, compared with more than 23,000 during the pandemic’s deadliest week in January 2021. The weekly number of new cases has also steadily declined this year, to about 77,000 as of May 3, according to the CDC, but that’s almost certainly a sharp undercount, said Dr.

A year from now, Wurtz said, the virus could look much like it does today, as we “continue to have a low-level, consistent transmission. We may never move lower than this number of deaths.” What could change that, she said, is a higher rate of immunization. What about COVID tests and treatments? Higher costs for COVID tests-–both at-home tests and those performed by clinicians–-may be one of the widest-ranging effects of the public health emergency’s end, affecting the timeliness of COVID diagnoses and efforts to prevent transmission, according to KFF, a health policy nonprofit.

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