Another hurricane forecast: where will they go? KPRC2Frank reports - KPRC2 hounews HTX weather HTXwx weather houweather Houstonweather
Zone 4 along the southern Atlantic coast proved a hit, but most of these zones didn’t have hurricanes this past season. Southern Florida wasn’t a predicted zone, yet was clobbered by Hurricane Ian on the west side and then Nicole, a weak hurricane, struck Florida’s east coast. Fiona slammed into Canada, also unpredicted:Dale’s methodology is to look at hurricane history, the idea that tracks from the past couple of years will likely be repeated.
Yes, I used the wrong data to calculate Zone 3, that zone should have covered the entire west coast of Florida. I will edit that change and show it on my 2022 forecast at the end of the year. Also, I’ll add another Zone that covers western Cuba and eastern Yucatan...Nicole is not forecastable by my methods, it is considered a strong tropical storm — a weak short-lived hurricane, I will use Nicole to forecast a Zone for eastern Florida in 2024.
Given that, Dale Link has issued his 2023 hurricane forecast and, at least for the Gulf Coast, let’s hope he’s right. He also shows past hurricanes used for his predictions:While this forecast calls for a quiet season in Texas, clearly that isn’t a guarantee.
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