Analysis: India, Pakistan de-escalate but triggers remain

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Analysis: India, Pakistan de-escalate but triggers remain
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Analysis: India and Pakistan pulled back from the brink of military confrontation, but the nuclear-armed neighbors didn't address the underlying dispute over Kashmir.

A member of the civil society group, Citizens of Lahore, participates in a candlelit vigil against war, in Lahore, Pakistan, Sunday, March 3, 2019. Residents near the disputed boundary in divided Kashmir region said Sunday it was quiet overnight, their first lull since a dangerous escalation between Pakistan and India erupted last week bringing the two nuclear-armed rivals close to full-out war.

Modi, who seeks re-election this spring, played to his Hindu nationalist base with India’s tough response to a suicide attack in the Indian-controlled part of Kashmir that killed dozens of Indian troops. Yet Pakistan’s deadly militant groups — many spawned by the Pakistani military as proxies against India — are becoming increasingly difficult to control.

On Friday, Pakistan handed the captured pilot to India, signaling de-escalation and raising hopes that war had been averted.India has violently suppressed widespread dissent inside its portion of Kashmir, which is the only Muslim majority state in mostly Hindu India. International human rights groups have accused Indian security forces of widespread abuses, arrests and torture.

In this heated climate, there have been reports of growing threats toward minority Muslims. Kashmiri Indians elsewhere in the country became targets of angry mobs after the suicide attack. Over the years, the military and intelligence agencies lost control over some of the groups or saw their influence over them waning, said Zahid Hussain, an author on two books about militancy in the region.

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