Analysis: If 2020 comes down to turnout, a white male Democratic nominee might be a problem for his party
Democratic presidential candidate, former Vice President Joe Biden speaks during a campaign rally at Eakins Oval in Philadelphia, Saturday, May 18, 2019. By Philip Bump Philip Bump National correspondent focused largely on the numbers behind politics Email Bio Follow May 23 at 12:00 PM For Democrats, it is unquestionably the case that having a white man on the ballot next November will spur turnout and energy among even infrequent voters.
Black and Hispanic Democrats told Pew this month that, overall, having a white Democratic nominee wouldn’t really affect their enthusiasm. Among those who did say that a white nominee would affect their enthusiasm, respondents were more than twice as likely to say that their enthusiasm for a white candidate would be lower than higher.
The difference between the apathetic response to another white nominee and a potential nominee of color was stark. But not as stark as the other option that Pew presented: What if the nominee were a white man?
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