Analysis: Canada may struggle to recoup $26 billion cost of Trans Mountain pipeline

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Analysis: Canada may struggle to recoup $26 billion cost of Trans Mountain pipeline
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Canada faces an uphill battle to recoup the roughly C$35 billion ($25.74 billion) in taxpayers' money it has sunk into the Trans Mountain oil pipeline, as uncertainty over shipping tolls and a limited pool of buyers cloud the asset's unique strategic value.

The federal government plans to sell Trans Mountain once a long-delayed expansion to nearly triple the flow of crude from Alberta to Canada's Pacific Coast isThe sale, however, has seen muted interest from other pipeline operators due to higher financing costs, while long-term investors like the pension funds are likely to steer clear on concerns about exposure to fossil fuel assets, analysts said.

"We'll have to see how much the government is going to eat," said Ryan Bushell, president of Newhaven Asset Management, which holds shares in energy infrastructure firms. "It is an important investment in the Canadian economy, generating significant operating revenues and creating well-paying middle-class jobs," said finance ministry spokesperson Katherine Cuplinskas.

Trans Mountain offers strategic value as it is the only pipeline taking crude from Canada's oil patch to the Pacific, and on to Asian refining markets. High regulatory hurdles for major Canadian infrastructure projects could make it the last pipeline of its kind.

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