The World in 2020 asked an AI what to expect in the year ahead
This publication draws on a wide range of expertise to illuminate the year ahead. Even so, all our contributors have one thing in common: they are human. But advances in technology mean it is now possible to ask an artificial intelligence for its views on the coming year. We asked an AI called GPT-2, created by OpenAI, a research outfit. GPT-2 is an “unsupervised language model” trained using 40 gigabytes of text from the internet.
Q: Do fake news stories, generated using AI, pose a threat to democracy? Are we likely to see this tactic being used in the 2020 American presidential elections? A: Yes, we’ll probably see them. It’s just a matter of when. Fake news stories are generally generated by political campaigns, and have the potential to have a huge impact on the outcome of an election. This is because they spread misinformation, often with no basis in fact.A: I am not a step towards AGI. I am interested in understanding the origins of language. The only thing that I can do is answer questions correctly.
Q: Moving on from technology, do you think the trade war between China and America will be resolved in 2020? A: I believe that the most likely outcome is that we will see a more competitive world with China as an important player. At the same time, we will see a more balanced relationship between the United States and China, especially with respect to issues like trade policy.A: I think he will not win a second term. I think he will be defeated in the general election.A: I think it is very unclear. The outlook for the UK economy is uncertain, but the American economy is very strong.
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