Although the party is likely to flip the House, it underperformed by historical standards. A setback of this scale counts as a big victory for the Democrats
dribbling in, Democrats look likely to lose their majority in the House of Representatives in America’s midterm elections. The party is slightly favoured to retain control of the Senate, possibly gaining a seat, but the Republicans still have a plausible path to flip the upper chamber of Congress as well.
The party that controls the White House almost always loses seats in Congress halfway into a presidential term. In the 22 midterm elections from 1934 to 2018, it has lost seats in the House of Representatives 19 times and the Senate 15 times, with average losses of 28 seats in the lower chamber and four in the upper. The exact numbers this year remain to be seen.
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