Revisiting 2024 box office predictions highlights missed expectations for “Mufasa,” “Joker,” “Inside Out 2,” “Deadpool” and more
“Sonic the Hedgehog 3” doubled the “Mufasa” opening last weekend, trouncing predictions from earlier in 2024
As another turbulent year in media and tech comes to an end, VIP+ analysts are revisiting 2024 forecasts — and what they got right and wrong. In this edition: Kaare Eriksen assesses the inconsistency of 2024’s domestic box office predictions, highlighting which films did not track with market expectations at the time and what the related sentiment may have been.
While HSX forecasters were nearly correct in pinning “Deadpool & Wolverine” as 2024’s No. 2 film, they underestimated the Marvel movie’s ceiling by more than $200 million. That turns into nearly $300 million when it comes to the prediction for “Inside Out 2,” the year’s actual winner. Likewise, “Moana 2” made more than double the HSX prediction in its first four weeks.
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